Polymarket Trader

new-account-test222

0xfe91ab8dceeab1fb6ae42f66250d5ff170cd4cd3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $321.92
Realized PnL: $3.61
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $27.47
Potential payout: $85.86
Potential profit: $58.38
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $32.03
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $32.03
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $32.62
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.57

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $20.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $17.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $19.19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 59.4%
Current value: $8.91
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $6.1
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $13.44
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.2%
Current value: $11.72
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $12.08
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $2.93
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 51.1%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $9.56
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.03
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 29.7%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 3.37x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 99.5% 5 shares