Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Polymarket Trader
sedrfgdsr
0xfe9206efd68c64c44f0bb7953fe272bcd9a7c492
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.06K
- Realized PnL
- $4K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $663.6
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $136.4
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$65.2
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $318
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $82
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.4K
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Down position
XRP Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.7
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $810
No position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.8
No position
USDT depeg in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$59.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$726.29
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Down position
Solana Up or Down on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 71% 400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 86% 163 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.1% 800 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No 78% 56.58 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.1% 1,200 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.3% 1,200 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 1,132.18 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 568.44 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 933.91 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 800.63 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 410.37 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 1,028 shares