No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- User PnL
- $3.49
Polymarket Trader
SokoviaAccords
0xfeb827922cc8858d6b3d52bd07139c6f82861c94
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.33K
- Realized PnL
- $225.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.29
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.85
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.65
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.34
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 2,329.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.9% 2,290.3 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 99.9% 1,811.67 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 1,040.68 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 99.6% 769.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 2,234.06 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.9% 2,124.2 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.5% 2,122.07 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No 99.6% 2,111.46 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 2,103.02 shares