Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $10.56
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $128.33
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Polymarket Trader
0xfec5...d221
0xfec51db331925dbed796b21622cc8c3b616ad221
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $53.88
- Realized PnL
- -$5.19
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $21.41
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $7.55
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $4.53
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.11
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.19
Under position
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.8
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$130.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 49% 31.25 shares
- Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 32% 31.25 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 7.2% 138.89 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 64% 1.72 shares
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85% 11.76 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 65% 5.93 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 60% 0.02 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Yes 66% 0.3 shares