Polymarket Trader

0xfecA7df4ddA4074F97823bC329c0ae3437B4e625-1774352865416

0xfeca7df4dda4074f97823bc329c0ae3437b4e625

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $283.57
Realized PnL: $74.12
Win rate: 47.4%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$57.03

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $24.42
Potential payout: $406.96
Potential profit: $382.54
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$32.35

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $168.24
Potential payout: $405.41
Potential profit: $237.16
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $18.24

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $29.69
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $282.81
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$20.31

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $209.59
Potential profit: $208.23
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$148.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.37
Potential profit: $140.37
User PnL: -$94.05

Yes position

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $4.66
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $132.33
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$5.34

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $55.2
Potential payout: $84.28
Potential profit: $29.08
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $6.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.39

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.19

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.87

Yes position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

Yes position

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 40% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.33

Yes position

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.36

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.58

Yes position

Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.29

Yes position

Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.33

Yes position

Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 67% 140.37 shares
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Yes 2% 750 shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.4% 625 shares
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 4% 1,415.53 shares
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Yes 79.8% 60.13 shares
Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Yes 8% 625.79 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Yes 88.5% 105.26 shares
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Yes 11% 69.72 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 58% 84.28 shares
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Yes 71.7% 69.72 shares
Will King Charles say "Special Relationship" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Yes 47.3% 55.58 shares
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?

Yes 95.4% 132.58 shares