Polymarket Trader

H0m0ThugMacro

0xfecfecc3ecf5a6137f41cff0138f082266bfabd4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.37K
Realized PnL: $4.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $6.27K
Potential payout: $119.37K
Potential profit: $113.1K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.53K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.48K
Potential payout: $5.49K
Potential profit: $8.23
User PnL: $376.82

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $865.04
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$134.96

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $3.9
User PnL: $296.65

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $0.58
User PnL: $68.33

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $201.9
Potential payout: $250.96
Potential profit: $49.06
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $98.89
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $12.22
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586.67

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.05

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.69

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.73

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.43

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.57

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.29

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.07

No position

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.82

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.74

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.23

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 97% 2,887.34 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?

Yes 90.7% 110.22 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

Yes 89.6% 111.57 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Yes 86% 116.28 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?

Yes 89% 112.36 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?

Yes 91.8% 21.79 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?

Yes 90.5% 33.14 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?

Yes 90.7% 16.54 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?

Yes 88% 34.09 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?

Yes 90.9% 110.01 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?

Yes 88% 113.64 shares