No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $8.78
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0xfede...8b07
0xfedea1137285ca3b1ad4b470ff7f28690edc8b07
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $48.07
- Realized PnL
- $61.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $8.27
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $7.63
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $7.18
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $7.07
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $5.63
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update