Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $93.82
- Potential profit
- $87.49
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$10.67
Polymarket Trader
0xfedf...e045
0xfedfd1c9dbdef2e5010b37cb6e4436d1eff4e045
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $123.61
- Realized PnL
- $650.47
- Win rate
- 60.9%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $70.25
- Potential payout
- $93.05
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $49.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $19.14
- Potential payout
- $91.16
- Potential profit
- $72.02
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$6.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.32
- Potential payout
- $87.54
- Potential profit
- $79.22
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $9.57
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $33.91
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.66
Over position
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.03
Norway position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.49
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.52
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.42
Over position
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.31
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.49
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.47
Yes position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.35
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Netherlands position
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.74
Under position
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.86
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?Yes 38.4% 32.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?Yes 25.3% 14.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 2?Yes 23% 43.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 2?Yes 11.4% 87.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 2?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?Yes 18.1% 93.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?Yes 22.4% 80.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 10% 169.49 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 11.8% 169.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 1?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 1?Yes 27% 37.04 shares