Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $18.83K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $31.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$6.18K
Polymarket Trader
0xfEf4eDf8c1A76E66FF065081a136C9BfEeF429bD-1781309546043
0xfef4edf8c1a76e66ff065081a136c9bfeef429bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50K
- Realized PnL
- $19.75K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Current value
- $31.18K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $18.83K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $6.18K
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.92K
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.89
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $80.21
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.02
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Trump hug anyone at UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Drake attend UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 8,021.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 92% 500 shares
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No 98.8% 300 shares
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No 98.8% 155 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 88.9% 30 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 99.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 99.7% 1,111.54 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes 99.5% 776 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99.3% 4,348.86 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99.1% 83.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 13,500 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 13,100 shares