Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Polymarket Trader
0xfefb...82ce
0xfefb6864c4d781aa669ccf2ea74e920369d482ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $41.95
- Realized PnL
- $49.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.23
- Potential profit
- $88.23
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $29.41
- Potential payout
- $58.24
- Potential profit
- $28.83
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$9.76
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $1.44
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.62
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 91% 30.3 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51.9% 29.12 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51.9% 29.12 shares