Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $10.49K
- Potential profit
- $10.49K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.75
Polymarket Trader
0xFF099C6af04b54CD19b0ddCdFb0C8105f6674728-1767731602564
0xff099c6af04b54cd19b0ddcdfb0c8105f6674728
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.73
- Realized PnL
- $420.55
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$15.43
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$425
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $47.48
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$17.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $602.79
- Potential profit
- $602.79
- User PnL
- -$14.81
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.07
- Potential profit
- $147.07
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138
- Potential profit
- $138
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.1
Yes position
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.77
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.75
No position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.99
Yes position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.96
No position
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.22
Yes position
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4% 120 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.9% 234.44 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.4% 1,137.25 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 10,493.68 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 56% 1,300 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes 6% 333.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 21% 500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 62% 150 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 62% 0.98 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 62% 50 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes 63% 65 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes 3.6% 147.05 shares