Shadd0wWalker

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $366.31
Potential profit: $363.74
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $295.81
Potential profit: $291.22
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $259.61
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $254.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $217.29
Potential profit: $217.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $209.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $199.71
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $6.06
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $113.94
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $107.69
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $78.84
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $13.39
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $41.61
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $12.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?