Polymarket Trader

0xff3d807694d4bDb992f55a39B1895a5e3491e6Ce-1725935267504

0xff3d807694d4bdb992f55a39b1895a5e3491e6ce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $784.16
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $743.98
Potential profit: $743.98
User PnL: -$371.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $724.36
Potential payout: $724.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $362.18

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.38
Potential profit: $473.38
User PnL: -$241.09

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.94
Potential profit: $425.94
User PnL: -$216.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.84
Potential profit: $243.84
User PnL: -$121.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.57
Potential profit: $230.57
User PnL: -$123.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.69
Potential profit: $192.69
User PnL: -$98.27

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.6
Potential profit: $191.6
User PnL: -$98.23

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $59.8
Potential payout: $102.22
Potential profit: $42.42
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661.29

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 7, 3AM ET

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.57

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.66

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.75

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of less than 10% on the EU by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Fed rate cut by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Trump sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jul 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 193.5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 50% 227.66 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 242.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET

Down 50% 243.84 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 10AM ET

Down 51% 212.71 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 5AM ET

Up 50.9% 473.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 6AM ET

Up 51% 192.69 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5AM ET

Down 50.9% 425.94 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 3AM ET

Down 51% 390.96 shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 54% 102.22 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Up 51.3% 191.6 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Down 53.6% 230.57 shares