Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $270
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$370
Polymarket Trader
uwacmn
0xff4a8689ed28b758c4e6ce734fc02ce0ff52ae50
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $299.37
- Realized PnL
- -$211.1
- Win rate
- 95.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $20.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.95
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.61
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.13
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.53
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will Trump say "Cookie" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Chainlink reach $20 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.37x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$476.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.8% 520 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 98.3% 267.33 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 13?Yes 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Chainlink reach $20 in March?No 97.2% 54.68 shares