Polymarket Trader

nostradummy

0xff4e1152e170ba77243f1afb909ee396660363e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.91K
Realized PnL: $2.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $254.41
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $75.31

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $391.35
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$775.03

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $4.2
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.8
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $65.93
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $32.96

No position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $495
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $505
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $977.49
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$147.5

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $915.32
Potential payout: $918.99
Potential profit: $3.68
User PnL: $51.46

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $425.31
Potential payout: $914.64
Potential profit: $489.33
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $132.62

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $741.2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $58.8
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $10.93
Potential payout: $754.06
Potential profit: $743.13
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$36.68

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $252.2
Potential payout: $731.22
Potential profit: $479.02
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$45.95

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $693.35
Potential payout: $731
Potential profit: $37.65
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $123.17

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $625.27
Potential payout: $652
Potential profit: $26.73
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $25.43

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $573
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $63

No position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $598.2
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$298.2

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $162.87
Potential payout: $517.05
Potential profit: $354.18
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $12.93

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $508.74
Potential payout: $516.23
Potential profit: $7.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $33.85

No position

Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $333.32
Potential payout: $462.95
Potential profit: $129.63
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$59.25

No position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $169.36
Potential payout: $439.9
Potential profit: $270.54
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $134
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $265.99
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $345.2
Potential payout: $399.07
Potential profit: $53.87
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $831.23

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691.18

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $299.71

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.24

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.76

No position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.09

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.9

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.7

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.68

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $87

Infamous position

Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.22

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.43

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.76

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Jeisla Chaves position

UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $2.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 652.97 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

No 99.7% 522.83 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83.2% 340.5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 60% 300 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 36.6% 375 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 50% 10 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 65% 97.95 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

No 96.5% 59 shares
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

No 99% 1,721.69 shares
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score

Yes 69% 337.18 shares
Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?

No 3.9% 50 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.5% 4,214 shares