Polymarket Trader

morilun

0xff4eec9e20a562c2b74a450249d568305b335502

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.5
Realized PnL: $2.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80K
Potential profit: $80K
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.39K
Potential profit: $24.39K
User PnL: -$24.39

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.44K
Potential profit: $23.44K
User PnL: -$23.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.99K
Potential profit: $18.99K
User PnL: -$18.99

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.59K
Potential profit: $18.59K
User PnL: -$18.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.88K
Potential profit: $16.88K
User PnL: -$16.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.66K
Potential profit: $16.66K
User PnL: -$16.66

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.61K
Potential profit: $16.61K
User PnL: -$16.61

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.59K
Potential profit: $16.59K
User PnL: -$16.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.69K
Potential profit: $15.69K
User PnL: -$15.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.44K
Potential profit: $15.44K
User PnL: -$15.44

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.98K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $270.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.99

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.62

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.81

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.83

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 467.36 shares
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 0.1% 28 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

No 0.1% 513.51 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

No 0.1% 118.12 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

No 0.1% 355.36 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17?

No 0.1% 5,880.63 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

No 0.1% 407.28 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18?

No 0.1% 9,804.54 shares
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 156 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2,518.18 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16?

No 0.1% 8,001.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares