Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $255.2
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- Multiplier
- 11.36x
- User PnL
- -$153.79
Polymarket Trader
CHIKI33
0xff52f3ca2ce5285a06d5e793af55324be0a24546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.51K
- Realized PnL
- $11.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $625.94
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $544.04
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $197.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$254.1
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $810
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $310
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $535
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $465
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $35
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $148.8
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $811.2
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$252.8
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $124.8
- Potential payout
- $960
- Potential profit
- $835.2
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$282.6
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $87.4
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $832.6
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$214.2
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $465.48
- Potential payout
- $699.97
- Potential profit
- $234.49
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $255.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $690
- Potential profit
- $690
- User PnL
- -$302.4
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $71.3
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $548.7
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$135.7
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $192
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $408
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$108
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$249.75
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $427
- Potential profit
- $427
- User PnL
- -$200.69
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $57.75
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $292.24
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$47.25
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.2%
- Current value
- $135.34
- Potential payout
- $207.73
- Potential profit
- $72.39
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $31.47
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.05
- Potential profit
- $122.05
- User PnL
- -$61.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $861.25
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.46
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.44
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.99
Yes position
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.3
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.82
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.37
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 200.83 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No 32% 32 shares
- Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?No 48% 210 shares
- Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes 35.5% 400 shares
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?No 50% 67.58 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 38% 264 shares
- North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?Yes 29.9% 167.11 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes 50% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 50% 600 shares
- Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes 10% 297.1 shares
- Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?Yes 8% 62.5 shares