Polymarket Trader

0xff6f...32b3

0xff6fd5464df79838e1a438658fbb536d823532b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $104.97
Realized PnL: $41.03
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.78K
Potential profit: $5.78K
User PnL: -$11.56

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.36K
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.16K
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $21.03
Potential payout: $221.41
Potential profit: $200.37
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$34.44

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $190.33
Potential profit: $187.95
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$9.04

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $17.46
Potential payout: $183.83
Potential profit: $166.36
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$11.51

Yes position

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $167.74
Potential profit: $163.3
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.41
Potential payout: $81.57
Potential profit: $79.17
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$9.01

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $70.84
Potential profit: $65.53
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$41.06

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $66.65
Potential profit: $54.42
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $10.83
Potential payout: $55.53
Potential profit: $44.7
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $8.82
Potential payout: $51.91
Potential profit: $43.08
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $10.32
Potential payout: $43.92
Potential profit: $33.6
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $24.62
Potential profit: $14.89
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.85

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.03
Potential profit: $15.03
User PnL: -$11.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.36

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.92

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $1.62

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.2%
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 19% 55.53 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 91% 12.71 shares
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Yes 14.6% 82.71 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 93% 12.57 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 190.33 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 43.92 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 22% 51.91 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Yes 14% 81.57 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Yes 15.1% 181.06 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 29% 206.35 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Yes 0.5% 2,159.3 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 70.12 shares