No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.76K
- Potential profit
- $13.76K
- User PnL
- -$4.65K
Polymarket Trader
SheepToken
@SheepTokenPM
0xff72a6a01da59f9a8656e0ad39cdb048d0a4cdaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.93K
- Realized PnL
- $64.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $410.41
- Potential payout
- $10.8K
- Potential profit
- $10.39K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$575.39
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $3.25K
- Potential payout
- $8.63K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- User PnL
- -$218.12
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$209.84
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.2%
- Current value
- $672
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $328
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$85.26
No position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $665
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $335
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $505
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $495
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$75
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $878.35
- Potential profit
- $878.35
- User PnL
- -$160.33
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$54.75
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79K
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Los Angeles Angels position
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.88
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 0.3% 317 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 5.9% 317 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.5% 1,818.08 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?Yes 75.7% 1,000 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 58% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 6% 2,902.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82.6% 2,333.73 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 79.6% 5,000 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.7% 2,890.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 4.7% 3,999.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 5% 1,300.15 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No 12.1% 3,880.66 shares