vAwK8p0Ju9

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $115.32
Potential payout: $324.84
Potential profit: $209.52
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $73.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $316.79
Potential profit: $316.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $269.64
Potential profit: $269.1
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.26
Potential profit: $249.26
User PnL: -$64.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $241
Potential profit: $240.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.65
Potential profit: $239.65
User PnL: -$39.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.11
Potential profit: $238.11
User PnL: -$8.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.3
Potential profit: $234.3
User PnL: -$4.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.42
Potential profit: $217.42
User PnL: -$28.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.26
Potential profit: $216.26
User PnL: -$31.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.06
Potential profit: $204.06
User PnL: -$11.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200.06
Potential profit: $195.36
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$8.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.8
Potential profit: $195.8
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.56
Potential profit: $193.56
User PnL: -$52.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.43
Potential profit: $187.43
User PnL: -$21.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.85
Potential profit: $185.85
User PnL: -$17.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.49
Potential profit: $183.49
User PnL: -$59.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.78
Potential profit: $180.78
User PnL: -$28.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $45.57
Potential payout: $178.7
Potential profit: $133.13
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$32.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.5
Potential profit: $177.5
User PnL: -$7.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.71
Potential profit: $169.71
User PnL: -$40.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.45
Potential profit: $166.45
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.44
Potential profit: $166.44
User PnL: -$34.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.75
Potential profit: $159.75
User PnL: -$66.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $28.87
Potential payout: $156.07
Potential profit: $127.2
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.68
Potential profit: $154.68
User PnL: -$17.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $102.76
Potential payout: $153.38
Potential profit: $50.62
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $43.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.8
Potential profit: $152.8
User PnL: -$36.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.14
Potential profit: $150.14
User PnL: -$28.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.03
Potential profit: $147.03
User PnL: -$12.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.99
Potential profit: $144.99
User PnL: -$21.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on June 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.57
Potential profit: $142.57
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.89
Potential profit: $139.89
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.21
Potential profit: $138.21
User PnL: -$35.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $21.85
Potential payout: $136.55
Potential profit: $114.7
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.61
Potential profit: $133.61
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.53
Potential profit: $133.53
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.16
Potential profit: $133.16
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.03
Potential profit: $133.03
User PnL: -$29.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $132.3
Potential profit: $127.47
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.03
Potential profit: $132.03
User PnL: -$25.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $25.65
Potential payout: $131.52
Potential profit: $105.87
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$11.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $131.42
Potential profit: $124.19
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $55.25
Potential payout: $130.01
Potential profit: $74.76
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.97
Potential profit: $129.97
User PnL: -$31.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.9
Potential profit: $126.9
User PnL: -$37.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.59
Potential profit: $126.59
User PnL: -$19.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.4
Potential profit: $126.4
User PnL: -$56.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on May 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.27
Potential profit: $126.27
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.07
Potential profit: $126.07
User PnL: -$5.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on May 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 6?