Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $49.86
- Potential profit
- $32.16
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Polymarket Trader
0xFF8A9BdDfFDB0ea9E23D3A8fb34dCc6ed4Deb400-1772661776180
0xff8a9bddffdb0ea9e23d3a8fb34dcc6ed4deb400
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.02
- Realized PnL
- $269.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.37
- Potential payout
- $35.37
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$22.32
No position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.35
- Potential profit
- $28.35
- User PnL
- -$26.64
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.3
- Potential profit
- $17.3
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $9.07
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37
- Potential profit
- $6.37
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.87
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $2.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 14°C or below on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.5% 10 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 90.5% 9.07 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 94.2% 52 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 97.2% 4.99 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.6% 25 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 97.7% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown 99% 5.05 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.2% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETDown 99% 5.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 78% 6.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp 99% 5.05 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.5% 20 shares