No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $97.55
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $51.65
Polymarket Trader
0xFf8Fc6678d1BeD65204c90862BB5767e17Ea86A3-1771891828415
0xff8fc6678d1bed65204c90862bb5767e17ea86a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.33K
- Realized PnL
- $260.26
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $77.21
- Potential payout
- $190.64
- Potential profit
- $113.43
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$22.79
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $100.58
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $15.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $105.44
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.85
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
No position
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
N
No position
Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.2% 106.16 shares
- Exact Score: West Ham United FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?No 89.9% 111.25 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 86% 116.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 79% 126.58 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No 99.4% 100.6 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 7?No 96.6% 103.52 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 95.8% 104.38 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?No 98.6% 43.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETDown 32% 9.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 57.6% 9.85 shares