Polymarket Trader

0xFF902C8aa7220Abd3e4B52773CeBf840d5FfbfDe-1781942450590

0xff902c8aa7220abd3e4b52773cebf840d5ffbfde

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $82.17
Realized PnL: $68.79
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $353.04
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $95.45
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$4.44

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.62
Potential profit: $100.62
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $90.42
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $6.81
Potential payout: $83.59
Potential profit: $76.78
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$3.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $67.31
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $55.87
Potential profit: $50.36
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.81
Potential payout: $54.47
Potential profit: $50.66
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$6.19

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $44.14
Potential profit: $34.65
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $40.64
Potential profit: $39.15
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$23.52

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $27.7
Potential payout: $34.84
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $13.89

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.23

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 78% 24.23 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.4% 357.14 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.9% 55.87 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Yes 12% 83.59 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 75% 60.15 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 22% 44.14 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 21.6% 47.61 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 53% 60.15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 15.4% 207.49 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Yes 4% 125 shares