zachary227

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$435.08

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$246.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $626.22
Potential payout: $749.97
Potential profit: $123.75
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17.81

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.99
Potential profit: $649.99
User PnL: -$62.67

Yes position

Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$79.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $237
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $216.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $33.75
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $244.65
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $45.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $104.25
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$28.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $130.42
Multiplier: 7.66x
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $53.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $71.88
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $76.88
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $48.13
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$7.12

Ige position

UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.67
Potential profit: $106.67
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $10.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.45
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.5
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $29.5
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $21.25

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $78.86
Potential payout: $78.9
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $18.86

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.68
Potential profit: $77.68
User PnL: -$63.98

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Chiefs

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$25.8

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $71.81
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $38.24
Potential payout: $74.99
Potential profit: $36.74
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.47

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.55

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.75

North Carolina Tar Heels position

Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.52

Yes position

Will no leader be out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.33

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.45

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.53

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.95

Yes position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.32

Holloway position

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.6

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.25

Eagles position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.87

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.6

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.88

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.42

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.31

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.31

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Pelicans

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.91

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?