Polymarket Trader

QuantumToaster

0xff9fb6d5561c89783a816a174b814bc93862fbfa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $79.1
Realized PnL: $111.23
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$487.55

Yes position

Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$31.5

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $64.6
Potential payout: $760
Potential profit: $695.4
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.01
Potential profit: $586.01
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.55
Potential profit: $87.55
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.67
Potential profit: $51.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.31

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.7%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $66.75

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $190?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$79.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 13.4% 93.75 shares
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 19% 105.26 shares
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 19% 52.63 shares
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 19% 158.18 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 55.2% 139.04 shares
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes 1.9% 80.97 shares
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 70% 21.43 shares
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes 2.2% 224.53 shares
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 17.1% 87.55 shares
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Yes 9.5% 210.63 shares