No position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $694.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $105.6
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Polymarket Trader
rthiden
0xffa7667edfbd043f48aa12fa3831629cbb7428f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $978.65
- Realized PnL
- $228.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $261.55
- Potential payout
- $263
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $22.7
- Potential payout
- $26.24
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.68
No position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.44
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.54
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.92
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 263 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No 87.5% 800 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 87% 26.24 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.6% 992.2 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?No 98.9% 79 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?No 98% 586 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.8% 76.63 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?No 95.7% 10 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?No 96% 710 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 684 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 99.4% 108.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No 97.6% 2.26 shares