0xFFAedEa5699dC2BCbCA0ac466e4bB4cf111d5C98-1781442354502

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.41
Potential profit: $16.41
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $12.67
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $10.78
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.61
Potential profit: $10.61
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $9.36
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.29
Potential profit: $7.29
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $3.59
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61
Potential profit: $6.61
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $5.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58
Potential profit: $5.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 81.8%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?