Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $79.14
- Potential payout
- $79.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $38.78
Polymarket Trader
0xffb1...98be
0xffb180b21474aeeb2af811176473516c110198be
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $123.31
- Realized PnL
- -$18.38
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $39.56
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$2.9
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $15.31
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Solana Up or Down - February 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETDown 51% 79.14 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 93.3% 13.93 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 56% 10.71 shares
- Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)Yes 77% 12.99 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 52% 19.23 shares
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 75% 6.67 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 10.99 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No 19.7% 25.35 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?No 28% 17.86 shares
- Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No 0.7% 723.34 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Yes 12% 41.67 shares