Polymarket Trader

RutionM

0xffb5ecf270bf59b4a006afbc476091fe0d9f7d34

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $359.41
Realized PnL: $39.01
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $116.03
Potential payout: $132.61
Potential profit: $16.58
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.29

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $95.94
Potential payout: $112.21
Potential profit: $16.27
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $98.95
Potential payout: $105.66
Potential profit: $6.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.14
Potential profit: $61.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $48.49
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $11.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$1.51

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 10.3 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 36.14 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 66% 30.3 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 82% 132.61 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 87% 112.21 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 83% 60.24 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 80% 25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 45% 44.44 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.7% 105.66 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 91% 109.57 shares