Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $9.98
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Polymarket Trader
Daddy-Xi
0xffb7d24e5521e56ec4aa221927c7b78b3099d3c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.18
- Realized PnL
- $13.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $4.18
- Potential payout
- $6.37
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.3%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 3.53x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No 87% 1.72 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 81% 6.17 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes 26.6% 3.76 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 39% 2.56 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.7% 2.85 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 85% 1.23 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No 92% 1.17 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 1.18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 1.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2.23 shares