Polymarket Trader

0xffca...29e7

0xffcabe565fc5e71dc20856529aa863adc50929e7

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $13.1
Realized PnL: -$0.34
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $6.32
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.4%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $5.46
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 4.47x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.03
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 3.02x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 41.8%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

US bank failure by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 35% 2.86 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.2% 1.53 shares
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 18.3% 5.46 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 72% 1.39 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 59% 1.69 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 4?

Down 66% 1.52 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?

Up 61% 1.64 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.8% 2.79 shares