Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Smokiescat0953
0xffcadf7d5cc542f966cc7e144ebab21945fe695a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.59
- Realized PnL
- $310.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $24.87
- Potential payout
- $979.17
- Potential profit
- $954.3
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $9.87
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $805.56
- Potential profit
- $795.49
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $276.43
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $94.22
- Potential payout
- $140.63
- Potential profit
- $46.41
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $49.22
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.01
- Potential profit
- $111.01
- User PnL
- -$28.01
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $69.38
- Multiplier
- 8.93x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.97
- Potential profit
- $68.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.6
- Potential profit
- $52.6
- User PnL
- -$12.61
No position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.93
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $10.51
- Potential payout
- $29.24
- Potential profit
- $18.73
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $5.51
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.1%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $17.36
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $15.43
- Potential payout
- $16.49
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.66
- Potential profit
- $15.66
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.2
- Potential profit
- $14.2
- User PnL
- -$4.83
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $9.67
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.27
Yes position
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.23
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.48
No position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Over position
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Yes position
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Senegal position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 6?No 91% 10.99 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 32% 140.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?Yes 14% 43.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?Yes 64.7% 23.19 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 99.9% 10.86 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 2?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?26.7% 18.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 2?Yes 11% 35.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 2?Yes 14.2% 35.32 shares