Polymarket Trader

smeagelsthrasher

0xffcff7d8359ba39b2305994bc92e17118d4567b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.91
Realized PnL: $197.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $861.65
Potential profit: $861.65
User PnL: -$39.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.69
Potential profit: $11.69
User PnL: -$7.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $11.59
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $8.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.88
Potential profit: $7.88
User PnL: -$1.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.51
Potential profit: $7.51
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.97
Potential profit: $6.97
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.64
Potential profit: $5.64
User PnL: -$1.97

Tunisia position

Spread: Sweden (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Detroit Tigers position

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$1.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.03

Under position

New Orleans Privateers vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 151.5

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Under position

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 148.5

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.75

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers position

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Kennesaw State Owls

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.8

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Under position

Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 149.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.75

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.59

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Clippers position

Timberwolves vs. Clippers

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.67

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Pelicans position

Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Over 2.5 position

Hurkacz vs. Bublik: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Over position

Suns vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?

Yes 99.9% 46.68 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?

Yes 67.2% 41.69 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?

Yes 47% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 21?

Yes 26% 71.42 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 21?

Yes 56% 71.43 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?

Yes 70.9% 80.45 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?

Yes 14.2% 77.77 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?

Yes 25% 49.62 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 20?

Yes 45% 77.78 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?

Yes 99.1% 71.53 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?

Yes 3% 34.94 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 20?

Yes 35% 49.63 shares