Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
Polymarket Trader
NoPeeking
0xffd21411e46b606fe4a4e6843f6656aea1e7d7ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.5K
- Realized PnL
- $23.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$619.08
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $5.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.13K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.69K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- User PnL
- -$2.38K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$744.25
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$104.32
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $15.86
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$22.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $288
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- $177
Yes position
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
No position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.48K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $494.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $313.51
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$165
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $263
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $193
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $189.99
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$439.06
No position
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $30.87
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$31.69
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $74.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $780
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $720
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$937
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after November 2025 meeting?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Alcaraz position
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Zverev
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.76
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $903.43
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $884.55
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.81
Alcaraz position
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853.7
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $835.62
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.44
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.01
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $771
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.57
Knicks position
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.64
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664
Yes position
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.33
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.99
Y
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.68
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No 74% 175 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 3.7% 3,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 9% 1,000 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 33.04 shares
- Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?No 48.9% 51.23 shares
- Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?No 48.8% 20 shares
- Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?No 48.8% 10 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?No 47.4% 29.99 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes 60% 5 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 69% 40 shares