Polymarket Trader

bearmagnet

0xffd87246e85ec478d221ade469c3c19ed3be1a4d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.56K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$81.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $852.21
Potential profit: $852.21
User PnL: -$20

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $802.95
Potential profit: $802.95
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.27
Potential profit: $532.27
User PnL: -$81.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.75
Potential profit: $530.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.66
Potential profit: $495.66
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424.95
Potential profit: $424.95
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $364.3
Potential profit: $364.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362
Potential profit: $362
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.65
Potential profit: $333.65
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.1
Potential profit: $255.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.21
Potential profit: $222.21
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.05
Potential profit: $215.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.78
Potential profit: $168.78
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.23
Potential profit: $160.23
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.06
Potential profit: $129.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.71
Potential profit: $117.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.4

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $158.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.27

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.77

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.92

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.32

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 32.9% 30.39 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 0.1% 3,654.32 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 97.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 97.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 113.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 746.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 530.75 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 195.97 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 195.98 shares