Polymarket Trader

qsaws

0xffe16ccd3953093dda662619ef026c5d0a5c474a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.83K
Realized PnL: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $1.26K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $32.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $852.36
Potential payout: $888.34
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $52.37

No position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $406.57
Potential payout: $456.82
Potential profit: $50.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $297.34
Potential payout: $332.22
Potential profit: $34.88
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.44
Potential profit: $149.44
User PnL: -$37.36

Yes position

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.28
Potential profit: $24.28
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.16
Potential profit: $16.16
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $10.84
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.81

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.36

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.69

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.66

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.53

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.29

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76

No position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

No position

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 90% 332.22 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Yes 90.1% 888.34 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Yes 93% 1,290.97 shares
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

No 88% 456.82 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 26.66 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 41% 68.29 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Yes 65% 307.69 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Yes 81% 2,470.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 75.7% 2,966.66 shares
Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Yes 94.7% 24.28 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 93% 2,966.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 99.7% 2,795.74 shares