No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $8.89
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
0xffe2...9e52
0xffe262c9ad0733d6be4eb005d7fbaecb69f99e52
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.28
- Realized PnL
- -$3.21
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $3.37
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $3.26
- Potential payout
- $5.76
- Potential profit
- $2.51
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of June 29 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $3.29
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
N
No position
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
N
No position
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 2 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 35% 2.84 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 45% 2.84 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 51% 2.43 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 2.43 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 60.1% 2.62 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 76.1% 2.63 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 74% 2.33 shares
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of June 29 2026?No 76% 3.29 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 4.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 75% 2.33 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 62% 2.79 shares