No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.9%
- Current value
- $557.71
- Potential payout
- $860
- Potential profit
- $302.29
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$125.99
Polymarket Trader
baiyueguanghaifeng432
0xfff8c58790fb30b7f181a142614150371e0570cf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $557.71
- Realized PnL
- -$344.58
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.82
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$430
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 99.6% 1,088.8 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 98% 780 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 97.6% 308.8 shares