Polymarket Trader

GoriIIa

0xfffadf38a520cd5a0035ff52d7fceb436a08864b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $638.03K
Realized PnL: $867.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $48.7K
Potential payout: $388.03K
Potential profit: $339.33K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $4.52K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $44.09K
Potential payout: $375.23K
Potential profit: $331.14K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $11.62K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $22.63K
Potential payout: $340.33K
Potential profit: $317.69K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$8.32K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $44.25K
Potential payout: $324.14K
Potential profit: $279.9K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$10.27K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $56.12K
Potential payout: $304.17K
Potential profit: $248.05K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $17.75K
Potential payout: $241.46K
Potential profit: $223.71K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$4.02K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $12.45K
Potential payout: $205.85K
Potential profit: $193.4K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $7.98K
Potential payout: $202.13K
Potential profit: $194.15K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.11K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $177.28K
Potential payout: $195.89K
Potential profit: $18.61K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $14.22K

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.04K
Potential profit: $101.04K
User PnL: -$96.14K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $85.95K
Potential payout: $90K
Potential profit: $4.05K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$450

No position

Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $41.83K
Potential payout: $43.28K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$275.35

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $30.48K
Potential payout: $31.7K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$232.65

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.19K
Potential payout: $19.31K
Potential profit: $5.12K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $96.54

Yes position

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $12.04K
Potential payout: $12.11K
Potential profit: $72.69
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $8.66K
Potential payout: $11.17K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$898.09

No position

Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $10.2K
Potential payout: $10.66K
Potential profit: $458.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$85.15

No position

Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $24.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $25.09

No position

Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $116.12
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.6K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.65K

No position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.4K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.8K

No position

Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.58K

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.24K

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4K

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.86K

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.06K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.91K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.75K

No position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.12K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.42K

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7K

No position

Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.8K

No position

Iran Nuke in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.44K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38K

No position

Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.02K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.64K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15K

Sinner position

Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.17K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96% 20,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 96% 70,000 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 85% 3,013.56 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

No 96% 24,697.2 shares
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.9% 31,704.73 shares
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.5% 10,648.76 shares
Will Australia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.4% 1,900.21 shares
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92.7% 1,655.42 shares
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85.5% 11,126.81 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 19,308.87 shares
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.3% 43,280.31 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

No 94.1% 12,522.16 shares