Polymarket Trader

BNyuan

0xfffe6ef60a060dd77b7fddcc669c06cda66729d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $338.42
Realized PnL: $246.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.31
Potential profit: $303.31
User PnL: -$270.28

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $191.29
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $97.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $49.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.48
User PnL: $0.42

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.43

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.4

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.4

Celtics position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9.61

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$6.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.05

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Spurs position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Suns position

Suns vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Hawks position

Trail Blazers vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Magic position

Hornets vs. Magic

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 116.28 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.8% 200 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 99.5% 150 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

No 43% 10 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spurs 94.5% 30 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Thunder 95% 31.58 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spurs 99.8% 75.14 shares
Pacers vs. Spurs

Spurs 98.8% 8.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 20?

Yes 98.3% 8 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 99.4% 33.49 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Yes 99.5% 20 shares