Polymarket Market

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Live
Probability
5.5%
Liquidity
$1.44M
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Spread
98%
Last trade
95%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 5.5% Current quote
No 94.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
95%
Depth
30,352.52 / 1,413,587.26

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%2,421.99
2%3,005.55
3%4,105.55
4%9,988.39
5%10,831.04

Asks

PriceSize
99%1,020,111.79
98%110,000
97%60,006.75
95%77.13
92%3,000
91%5.15
90%87.73
80%65,625

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 95% 105.26 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 95% 131.58 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 95% 210.53 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 95% 105.26 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 5% 274 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 274 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 10.86 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 100 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 16.67 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    No 95% 630 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 16.67 shares
  • Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 5% 230.16 shares