Polymarket Market

Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
Probability
49%
Liquidity
$1.29K
Ends
Jun 9, 2026
Best ask
99%
Last trade
12%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 49% Current quote
No 51% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
Unavailable
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
49%
Spread
Unavailable
Last trade
12%
Depth
1,289.62

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize

Asks

PriceSize
99%1,223.42
98%66.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 12% 3.25 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 20% 9.47 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 35% 1.02 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 65% 80 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 35.6% 119 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 35% 5 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 2.4% 5 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 11.1% 70 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 75% 7 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 75% 5 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 26% 0.16 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 26% 19.33 shares