Polymarket Market
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
- Probability
- 15.3%
- Liquidity
- $24.9M
- Ends
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 84.7%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 84.7%
- Depth
- 1,254,033.84 / 23,643,723.84
Price history
Waiting for price history
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 817,290.46 |
| 0.2% | 136,403 |
| 0.3% | 125,963.38 |
| 0.4% | 21,252.52 |
| 0.5% | 12,050 |
| 0.6% | 8,333.29 |
| 0.9% | 254.08 |
| 1% | 76.81 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 21,094,136.94 |
| 99.8% | 500,007.24 |
| 99.7% | 310,176.79 |
| 99.6% | 2,506.22 |
| 99.4% | 90,000 |
| 99.3% | 1,500 |
| 99.2% | 8.65 |
| 99% | 487,067.49 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.3% 13.07 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 10.61 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.8% 8.25 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 0.29 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 5.89 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 0.7 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.8% 20 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 0.73 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 15.2% 20.92 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.7% 150 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.8% 10.61 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 84.6% 0.37 shares