Polymarket Market
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 46.2%
- Liquidity
- $1.53M
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 53.9%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 53.9%
- Depth
- 1,339,967.77 / 187,375.23
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 483,083.47 |
| 0.2% | 192,438.56 |
| 0.3% | 120,984.54 |
| 0.4% | 85,937.5 |
| 0.5% | 48,125 |
| 0.6% | 37,239.6 |
| 0.7% | 27,008.95 |
| 0.8% | 21,484.36 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 2,000 |
| 98% | 80,031.76 |
| 97% | 8,000 |
| 95% | 30,400 |
| 93% | 19,199.99 |
| 91% | 10,666.66 |
| 88% | 8,266.66 |
| 87% | 1,807 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 53.9% 1.86 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 53.6% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.8% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 51.9% 0.12 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.7% 24.48 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 47.6% 752.2 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 48.2% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 51.9% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 48.2% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 52.3% 1.91 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 48.2% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 51.8% 7 shares