Polymarket Market
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Live
- Probability
- 62%
- Liquidity
- $695.05K
- Ends
- Jun 2, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 61%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 61%
- Depth
- 204,646.09 / 490,406
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 51,260 |
| 2% | 15,250 |
| 3% | 22,083.33 |
| 4% | 3,250 |
| 5% | 1,300 |
| 6% | 19,383.33 |
| 7% | 750 |
| 8% | 1,500 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 101,790.11 |
| 98% | 111,956.25 |
| 97% | 24,883.97 |
| 96% | 45,443.75 |
| 95% | 6,560 |
| 94% | 26,357.26 |
| 93% | 5,304.85 |
| 92% | 18,523.43 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 61% 8 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 61% 5 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 63% 3.17 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 61% 220.86 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 62% 8.77 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 63% 3.17 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 38% 9.42 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 38% 5.58 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 63% 7.94 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 37% 28 shares