Polymarket Market
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Live
- Probability
- 10.6%
- Liquidity
- $14.59M
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 10.8%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 10.8%
- Depth
- 939,029.82 / 13,655,152.05
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 682,767.1 |
| 0.2% | 28,536.9 |
| 0.3% | 10,891 |
| 0.4% | 57,752 |
| 0.5% | 8,604.28 |
| 0.6% | 5,000 |
| 0.8% | 35,080.64 |
| 0.9% | 24,723.85 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 11,100,920.46 |
| 99.8% | 507,510.77 |
| 99.7% | 310,000 |
| 99.6% | 65,000 |
| 99.5% | 5.95 |
| 99.4% | 202,500 |
| 99.3% | 400,000 |
| 99.2% | 210,000 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.2% 44.46 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 10.6% 250 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 1,893.02 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 74.29 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 75.29 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 67.75 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 61.19 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 51.75 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 46.97 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 42.37 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 66.81 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.6% 41.25 shares