Polymarket Market
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Live
- Probability
- 25%
- Liquidity
- $23.63K
- Ends
- Jan 3, 2027
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 22%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 22%
- Depth
- 12,295.62 / 11,331.81
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 5,982.01 |
| 2% | 625 |
| 3% | 416.67 |
| 4% | 250 |
| 5% | 400 |
| 6% | 800 |
| 8% | 10 |
| 10% | 10 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 4,949.48 |
| 96% | 2,286.59 |
| 92% | 643.29 |
| 85% | 1,123.09 |
| 79% | 814.28 |
| 74% | 657.69 |
| 68% | 492.18 |
| 66% | 273 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 22.6% 119.53 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 28% 35.71 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 43.7% 18.48 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 43.1% 23.23 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?No 63.9% 162.02 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 41.8% 119.53 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 44.1% 33.18 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 34.7% 81.22 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 32.6% 105.08 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 19% 19.69 shares