Polymarket Market
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Live
- Probability
- 94.5%
- Liquidity
- $1.54M
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 5%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 5%
- Depth
- 1,434,030.26 / 103,115.73
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 460,784.94 |
| 2% | 234,386.46 |
| 3% | 130,168.97 |
| 4% | 236,375.02 |
| 5% | 43,978.11 |
| 6% | 21,838.52 |
| 7% | 16,044.62 |
| 8% | 9,902.32 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 43,448.05 |
| 98% | 38,959.95 |
| 97% | 14,686.81 |
| 96% | 5,470.48 |
| 95% | 550.44 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 5% 86.95 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 93% 14.32 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 14.33 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 42.91 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 714.98 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 95% 599.9 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 6% 5.96 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 667.35 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 93% 3.88 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 10.69 shares