Polymarket Market
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 9.2%
- Liquidity
- $766.57K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 9.1%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 9.1%
- Depth
- 166,346.93 / 600,218.64
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 58,295 |
| 0.2% | 59,188 |
| 0.3% | 341 |
| 0.4% | 750 |
| 1% | 1,300 |
| 1.4% | 1,311.11 |
| 2.2% | 3,111.1 |
| 2.3% | 3,914 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 317,000 |
| 99.7% | 10,000 |
| 99.5% | 30,000 |
| 99.3% | 100,000 |
| 99% | 500 |
| 98.8% | 14,800 |
| 95% | 18,875.24 |
| 91% | 14,652.91 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.1% 25 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.2% 71.52 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.2% 113.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.2% 15 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.1% 100 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.4% 46.94 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No 90.6% 1.1 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.4% 100 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.4% 10 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No 90.3% 2.14 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.4% 46.08 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.2% 1,407.75 shares