Polymarket Market

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Probability
7.7%
Liquidity
$100.8K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
94.2%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 7.7% Current quote
No 92.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
94.2%
Depth
66,171.91 / 34,628.57

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%55,073
0.2%6,632.51
0.4%750
1%1,000
2%500
2.1%1,000
2.2%671.1
2.3%218

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%42.38
99.7%23,543.8
99%500
98.9%2,707.96
97.3%1,504.86
97.2%10
95%20
94.9%8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 5.8% 14.92 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 7.5% 13.87 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 2.5% 0.15 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 7.6% 13.16 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 3.7% 29.85 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 6.2% 30 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    No 90% 4.1 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    No 90% 24.5 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 20% 65 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 20% 35 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 2.4% 15.18 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
    Yes 8.1% 15.19 shares